Fantasy Football: The Downside for Each Top-20 Pick

Odell Beckham, WR, New York Giants

Downside: Touchdown Upside

Odell Beckham's touchdowns per target rate has dropped in each consecutive year he's been in the league. Meanwhile, Eli Manning's Success Rate -- or the percentage of positive expected points throws made according to our Net Expected Points (NEP) metric -- has also declined each year over the last three. That's a problem.

The questions surrounding OBJ -- health aside, of course -- include Manning's overall play, as well as new competition for targets in Brandon Marshall and Evan Engram. Someone of Beckham's caliber will, as the kids say, "get his," but that doesn't mean there aren't factors limiting his potential success.