MLB

5 Daily Fantasy Baseball Value Plays for 5/7/18

Jason Schandl  —  @JasonSchandl May 7th, 2018
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Adam Duvall, OF, Cincinnati Reds

Price: $3,000

Adam Duvall has had an egregious start to 2018, but his unsustainably low batting average on balls in play (BABIP) means that we don't need to be especially worried about his lack of production.

His career average BABIP sits at .270, and he's coming off a 2017 campaign that saw him notch a .290 BABIP. Duvall has only a .171 BABIP to open 2018, despite his 18.5% soft-hit rate not being much higher than his 17.2% career average and his 42.0% hard-hit rate being on pace for a career-high mark.

Since the start of the 2017 season, Duvall has tagged southpaws for a 12.3% soft-hit rate, 36.1% hard-hit rate and 45.1% fly-ball rate, which has translated to a .373 wOBA and .296 ISO. New York Mets lefty P.J. Conlon will be making his first big-league start, and with Conlon's shaky 4.94 xFIP in his five career Triple-A starts, this is a prime spot for Duvall to bounce back.

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