MLB

5 Daily Fantasy Baseball Value Plays for 5/11/18

Jason Schandl  —  @JasonSchandl May 11th, 2018
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Chris Davis, 1B, Baltimore Orioles

Price: $2,700

Chris Davis' production has been awful this year. There's really no other way to describe a .171/.261/.285 slash, or a .245 wOBA.

There is plenty of reason to believe that he can recover from this terrible start to the season though. His 33.8% hard-hit rate, while lower than his career-average, is still a solid mark. That is paired with a 10.4% soft-hit rate, which is also below his career-average. Despite making good contact, his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) sits at only .233 -- which is on pace to be a career-low, and trails both his career-average (.310) and 2017 mark (.301). He seems to be on the wrong side of variance, and we can expect his production to pick up.

Tonight's matchup puts him in a particularly good spot for that to happen. He does his best work against right-handed pitching, and Tampa Bay Rays righty Jacob Faria has opened 2018 with a 4.75 SIERA, while his 5.61 xFIP against left-handed bats is particularly egregious.

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