MLB

3 MLB FanDuel Studs to Target on 7/13/18

Jason Schandl  —  @JasonSchandl Jul 13th, 2018
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Dallas Keuchel, P, Houston Astros

Price: $9,000

The Detroit Tigers have the lowest implied total of the day on Friday, with a 3.36, while they also sit as the day's biggest underdog with a +227 moneyline to the Houston Astros' -248.

The Tigers have been solid against lefties (their 108 wRC+ ranks fifth) this season, but their offense has been slumping of late. Over the last 14 days, they're 26th in wRC+ (81) and wOBA (.292), and they have seen a bump in strikeout rate (22.9%, 8th) and soft-hit rate (21.8%, 3rd). Those numbers sit at 23.9% and 21.6%, respectively, against lefties in that same span.

This makes them a terrific matchup for Dallas Keuchel tonight. Keuchel's numbers are down this year, but his 3.95 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) is still a solid mark, and while his strikeout rate (17.8%) has fallen, it has come with a drop in walk rate (6.4%).

Combining those numbers with the promising betting lines, Keuchel represents the safest pitching option on the slate.

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