NBA

NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Friday 5/12/23

Austan Kas  —  @AustanKas May 12th, 2023

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place live in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Kevin Love Over 1.5 Made Threes (-136)

Outside of Duncan Robinson and Max Strus, the Miami Heat shot 4 of 23 from three in their Game 5 loss to the New York Knicks. Just two other Heat players even made a three-ball, and Strus was the only starter to hit a three-pointer.

The rest of the Heat will need to shoot better than that tonight, and that's where Kevin Love comes in.

Love has canned multiple triples in three of the five games of this series, and he's taken at least five threes in four of the five outings. Love has made at least two threes in 8 of his 10 postseason games this year.

In the regular season, New York permitted the sixth-most made treys per night to power forwards.

We have Love hitting 2.0 of 5.5 from beyond the arc in tonight's Game 6. I'm rolling with the over.

Klay Thompson Under 21.5 Points (-108)

Betting against Klay Thompson in a Game 6? I'm gonna risk it.

Thompson went for 25 and 30 points in the first two games, taking 25 and 18 shots in those two. But as the Golden State Warriors have run more Stephen Curry pick and rolls as the series has progressed, it's suppressed Klay's shot volume.

In the last three games, Thompson has attempted 14, 11 and 12 shots while topping out at 15 points. He's a meager 3 for 13 from two in that time as Golden State running a slightly more structured attack instead of their usual free-flowing offense has taken away some of Klay's game.

I'm not sure why the Warriors would deviate from the Curry pick and roll; it's been their best means of creating good looks in this series. It's just made it so Klay is having to feed on scraps.

While acknowledging that Klay -- one of the NBA's all-time great shooters -- can get hot and go nuts in any game, I'm backing this under. Our model is a fan, too, pegging Thompson for just 19.4 points.