Fantasy Baseball: 9 Players That Are Being Overvalued

Aaron Judge - New York Yankees (OF)

There is no doubt about the fact that Aaron Judge is one of the best young outfielders in the game. His 2017 season was perhaps the best ever by a rookie and is the reason he's being taken as the sixth outfielder overall with an 18.82 ADP that puts him smack in the middle of the second round.

Beware of the regression, though, which is actually pretty likely to happen. Expecting him to slug 52 bombs again is unrealistic. Our projections seem him as the 11th-best outfielder in fantasy this season with 40 bombs, 99 RBI, and 99 runs scored. Judge is less valuable in batting average leagues (.263 projected average) but definitely more valuable in OBP and OPS leagues (.899 projected OPS), and his strikeout totals are going to pile up in that particular category.

Marcell Ozuna is currently the 11th outfielder off the board in ADP. I'd feel comfortable selecting Judge in the fourth round, not the second.