MLB Betting Guide: Wednesday 6/2/21
Which MLB games offer betting value on Soccer odd? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (-182): 3 Stars out of 5
This pitching matchup features two inexperienced starters in Spencer Howard for the Philadelphia Phillies and Vladimir Gutierrez for the Cincinnati Reds. Spencer Howard has only made eight career starts, and Gutierrez has only made one, so it is difficult to tell what to expect from either starter.
What we do know about these teams is that the Reds are far superior in terms of run production. The Reds are scoring 4.92 runs per game, while the Phillies are only scoring 3.89.
Our model likes the Reds to win outright by a final score of 5.46-5.09, and we give the Reds a 56.24% chance to cover the runline, making this a 3-star bet.
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets -1.5 (+150): 1 Star out of 5
The New York Mets are Arizona Diamondbacks are two teams going in opposite directions, as the Mets are in first place in the NL East while the Diamondbacks have the worst record in the entire NL.
The starting pitching matchup should be fairly even with David Peterson (4.91 ERA) going against Madison Bumgarner (5.15 ERA). However, the Mets should have a huge advantage in the bullpen, as they boast a 3.56 bullpen ERA compared to a 4.90 bullpen ERA for the Diamondbacks.
Our model projects the Mets to win comfortably by a final score of 5.78-5.01 and we give them a 56.82% likelihood to cover the runline.
