MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 6/21/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | Beau Brieske | 9.5 | 5.38 | 45.0% | 29.5% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
| LAD | Tyler Mahle | 9.5 | 5.29 | 43.5% | 28.1% | 16.5% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| MIN | Aaron Civale | 9.5 | 5.21 | 42.1% | 26.9% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| ATL | Anthony DeSclafani | 9.0 | 5.03 | 38.9% | 24.2% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| LAA | Jon Heasley | 9.0 | 4.95 | 37.5% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| PIT | Matthew Swarmer | 9.0 | 4.94 | 37.4% | 22.9% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| STL | Chi Chi Gonzalez | 9.0 | 4.71 | 33.3% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| TOR | Dylan Cease | 9.0 | 4.71 | 33.3% | 19.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| HOU | Trevor Williams | 9.0 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| SEA | James Kaprielian | 8.5 | 4.55 | 30.6% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| NYM | Jose Urquidy | 9.0 | 4.31 | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| CHW | Kevin Gausman | 9.0 | 4.29 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| CLE | Joe Ryan | 9.5 | 4.29 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| MIL | Jack Flaherty | 9.0 | 4.29 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| CIN | Tony Gonsolin | 9.5 | 4.21 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| MIA | Ryan Feltner | 8.0 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| DET | Rich Hill | 9.5 | 4.12 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| CHC | Roansy Contreras | 9.0 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| TEX | Kyle Gibson | 8.0 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| KC | Reid Detmers | 9.0 | 4.05 | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| SF | Spencer Strider | 9.0 | 3.97 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| OAK | Marco Gonzales | 8.5 | 3.95 | 20.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| PHI | Martin Perez | 8.0 | 3.94 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| NYY | Josh Fleming | 7.0 | 3.84 | 19.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| COL | Daniel Castano | 8.0 | 3.80 | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| SD | Zac Gallen | 7.0 | 3.69 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| ARI | Sean Manaea | 7.0 | 3.31 | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| TB | Nestor Cortes | 7.0 | 3.16 | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| BAL | Erick Fedde | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| WSH | Bruce Zimmermann | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | TOR | 7.3 | 93.2% | 85.1% | 73.4% | 59.1% | 44.3% | 30.8% | 19.9% |
| Tyler Mahle | LAD | 6.8 | 90.5% | 80.5% | 66.9% | 51.5% | 36.7% | 24.1% | 14.7% |
| Sean Manaea | ARI | 6.7 | 90.4% | 80.2% | 66.5% | 51.1% | 36.3% | 23.8% | 14.4% |
| Nestor Cortes | TB | 6.5 | 89.0% | 78.0% | 63.5% | 47.8% | 33.2% | 21.2% | 12.5% |
| Spencer Strider | SF | 6.0 | 84.4% | 70.8% | 54.6% | 38.6% | 24.9% | 14.8% | 8.1% |
| Kevin Gausman | CHW | 5.9 | 84.0% | 70.1% | 53.8% | 37.8% | 24.2% | 14.3% | 7.7% |
| Joe Ryan | CLE | 5.3 | 77.8% | 61.5% | 44.2% | 28.7% | 17.0% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Tony Gonsolin | CIN | 5.3 | 77.7% | 61.4% | 44.0% | 28.6% | 16.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Zac Gallen | SD | 5.2 | 75.5% | 58.5% | 41.0% | 26.0% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Kyle Gibson | TEX | 4.9 | 71.6% | 53.6% | 36.1% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Roansy Contreras | CHC | 4.7 | 68.2% | 49.6% | 32.3% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Martin Perez | PHI | 4.6 | 66.6% | 47.7% | 30.6% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Aaron Civale | MIN | 4.5 | 66.1% | 47.2% | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Jose Urquidy | NYM | 4.5 | 65.9% | 47.0% | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Rich Hill | DET | 4.5 | 64.9% | 45.8% | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Jack Flaherty | MIL | 4.4 | 64.4% | 45.3% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Marco Gonzales | OAK | 4.2 | 61.0% | 41.6% | 25.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Anthony DeSclafani | ATL | 4.1 | 58.4% | 38.9% | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Bruce Zimmermann | WSH | 4.1 | 58.2% | 38.7% | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Feltner | MIA | 4.1 | 58.2% | 38.7% | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Erick Fedde | BAL | 4.1 | 57.6% | 38.1% | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Swarmer | PIT | 4.1 | 57.6% | 38.1% | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Reid Detmers | KC | 4.0 | 57.4% | 37.9% | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jon Heasley | LAA | 3.9 | 55.5% | 35.9% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| James Kaprielian | SEA | 3.8 | 53.3% | 33.8% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Beau Brieske | BOS | 3.8 | 51.8% | 32.4% | 17.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Williams | HOU | 3.7 | 51.0% | 31.7% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Castano | COL | 3.4 | 43.9% | 25.4% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Chi Chi Gonzalez | STL | 3.3 | 42.0% | 23.7% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Josh Fleming | NYY | 2.8 | 30.4% | 14.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
| Batter | Team | Platoon? | HR Park Factor |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Probability |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Jack Flaherty | 26.8% | +273 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 98 | Aaron Civale | 26.8% | +274 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 26.2% | +282 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | No | 111 | Tony Gonsolin | 24.0% | +316 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | Yes | 94 | Josh Fleming | 23.4% | +328 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Matthew Swarmer | 23.3% | +329 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Beau Brieske | 23.0% | +335 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 22.3% | +347 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 101 | Jose Urquidy | 22.0% | +354 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | 112 | Bruce Zimmermann | 21.9% | +356 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 103 | Chi Chi Gonzalez | 21.8% | +358 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Anthony DeSclafani | 21.4% | +367 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 108 | Jon Heasley | 21.3% | +370 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 21.2% | +372 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Trevor Williams | 21.0% | +376 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 103 | Jon Heasley | 20.8% | +381 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Beau Brieske | 20.7% | +383 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Erick Fedde | 20.3% | +392 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 103 | Chi Chi Gonzalez | 20.2% | +394 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 111 | Tyler Mahle | 20.2% | +395 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 111 | Tyler Mahle | 20.2% | +395 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | Yes | 94 | Marco Gonzales | 19.9% | +404 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 113 | Tyler Mahle | 19.6% | +411 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 19.5% | +413 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 19.5% | +413 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 19.5% | +414 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 112 | Bruce Zimmermann | 19.4% | +415 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Erick Fedde | 19.1% | +424 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 19.0% | +426 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 112 | Bruce Zimmermann | 18.7% | +433 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Jack Flaherty | 18.6% | +439 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Anthony DeSclafani | 18.4% | +443 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 18.4% | +444 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | No | 110 | Bruce Zimmermann | 18.3% | +445 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | Jon Heasley | 18.3% | +447 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | Yes | 95 | Matthew Swarmer | 18.3% | +447 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 18.3% | +447 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Trevor Williams | 18.2% | +448 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Trevor Williams | 18.1% | +452 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 18.0% | +454 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 18.0% | +454 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | No | 99 | Beau Brieske | 18.0% | +457 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 103 | Jon Heasley | 17.9% | +458 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Aaron Civale | 17.8% | +461 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 17.7% | +465 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | No | 101 | Martin Perez | 17.7% | +466 |
| Adam Duvall | ATL | No | 97 | Anthony DeSclafani | 17.7% | +466 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 113 | Tony Gonsolin | 17.6% | +469 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | Jack Flaherty | 17.4% | +476 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 17.2% | +480 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Matthew Swarmer | 17.1% | +484 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Kevin Gausman | 17.1% | +486 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | Yes | 94 | Marco Gonzales | 17.0% | +489 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 113 | Tyler Mahle | 16.9% | +492 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Jack Flaherty | 16.7% | +500 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 103 | Jack Flaherty | 16.7% | +500 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | Yes | 112 | Bruce Zimmermann | 16.6% | +502 |
| Trevor Larnach | MIN | Yes | 99 | Aaron Civale | 16.5% | +507 |
| Jazz Chisholm | MIA | Yes | 92 | Ryan Feltner | 16.1% | +521 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | No | 101 | Martin Perez | 16.1% | +521 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Kyle Gibson | 16.1% | +522 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 16.0% | +527 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Anthony DeSclafani | 15.9% | +529 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 15.9% | +531 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Erick Fedde | 15.8% | +532 |
| Luke Voit | SD | No | 96 | Zac Gallen | 15.8% | +534 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 15.7% | +535 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Kyle Gibson | 15.4% | +548 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | No | 108 | Reid Detmers | 15.3% | +555 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 90 | Daniel Castano | 15.2% | +559 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 112 | Bruce Zimmermann | 15.1% | +562 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Kevin Gausman | 15.1% | +564 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 101 | Kyle Gibson | 14.8% | +577 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 103 | Jon Heasley | 14.7% | +579 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 14.7% | +581 |
| Jordan Luplow | ARI | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 14.7% | +582 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 14.5% | +589 |
| Christian Bethancourt | OAK | Yes | 94 | Marco Gonzales | 14.4% | +594 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | No | 92 | Daniel Castano | 14.4% | +594 |
| Joey Gallo | NYY | No | 92 | Josh Fleming | 14.4% | +594 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Kevin Gausman | 14.4% | +596 |
| Lewin Diaz | MIA | Yes | 92 | Ryan Feltner | 14.3% | +600 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | No | 111 | Tony Gonsolin | 14.2% | +604 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Tony Gonsolin | 14.2% | +604 |
| Nick Plummer | NYM | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 14.2% | +604 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Aaron Civale | 14.1% | +608 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 14.1% | +609 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 97 | Anthony DeSclafani | 14.0% | +614 |
| Eddy Alvarez | LAD | Yes | 113 | Tyler Mahle | 13.9% | +618 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Kyle Gibson | 13.8% | +627 |
| Willi Castro | DET | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 13.6% | +633 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Erick Fedde | 13.6% | +634 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Zac Gallen | 13.4% | +648 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 13.3% | +649 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Jack Flaherty | 13.3% | +650 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | No | 103 | Jack Flaherty | 13.3% | +650 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 13.3% | +654 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | No | 95 | Sean Manaea | 13.2% | +659 |
| Mike Moustakas | CIN | Yes | 113 | Tony Gonsolin | 13.1% | +661 |
| Matt Davidson | OAK | Yes | 94 | Marco Gonzales | 13.1% | +666 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 12.9% | +673 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Erick Fedde | 12.8% | +678 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Erick Fedde | 12.8% | +678 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 12.8% | +683 |
| Jonathan Villar | CHC | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 12.7% | +687 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 111 | Tyler Mahle | 12.7% | +688 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 111 | Tyler Mahle | 12.7% | +688 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 101 | Chi Chi Gonzalez | 12.7% | +689 |
| Juan Yepez | STL | No | 103 | Chi Chi Gonzalez | 12.6% | +692 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 12.6% | +694 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | No | 92 | Marco Gonzales | 12.3% | +715 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 106 | Kevin Gausman | 12.2% | +720 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 12.1% | +725 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 98 | Aaron Civale | 12.1% | +726 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 12.0% | +730 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Matthew Swarmer | 12.0% | +732 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 97 | Anthony DeSclafani | 12.0% | +734 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 103 | Chi Chi Gonzalez | 11.9% | +740 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 99 | Aaron Civale | 11.7% | +752 |
| Alex Kirilloff | MIN | Yes | 99 | Aaron Civale | 11.7% | +752 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 101 | Jose Urquidy | 11.7% | +754 |
| Justin Upton | SEA | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 11.7% | +757 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 11.7% | +757 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | Yes | 94 | Josh Fleming | 11.6% | +759 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 94 | Nestor Cortes | 11.6% | +759 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Zac Gallen | 11.3% | +783 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Zac Gallen | 11.3% | +783 |
| Hoy Park | PIT | Yes | 95 | Matthew Swarmer | 11.3% | +783 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | 103 | Jack Flaherty | 11.2% | +796 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 11.1% | +799 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 11.1% | +801 |
| Taylor Trammell | SEA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 11.0% | +808 |
| Ehire Adrianza | WSH | Yes | 112 | Bruce Zimmermann | 11.0% | +809 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | Yes | 112 | Bruce Zimmermann | 11.0% | +809 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Beau Brieske | 10.8% | +828 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 113 | Tyler Mahle | 10.7% | +837 |
| Javier Baez | DET | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 10.7% | +839 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 10.7% | +839 |
| Avisail Garcia | MIA | No | 90 | Ryan Feltner | 10.6% | +845 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 96 | Zac Gallen | 10.5% | +853 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 10.3% | +871 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 10.3% | +875 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | No | 92 | Daniel Castano | 10.0% | +902 |
| Eric Hosmer | SD | Yes | 95 | Zac Gallen | 9.9% | +912 |
| Robbie Grossman | DET | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 9.9% | +914 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 90 | Daniel Castano | 9.8% | +921 |
| Franchy Cordero | BOS | Yes | 93 | Beau Brieske | 9.7% | +931 |
| Brad Miller | TEX | Yes | 101 | Kyle Gibson | 9.7% | +935 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Kevin Gausman | 9.7% | +936 |
| Tyler Nevin | BAL | No | 112 | Erick Fedde | 9.5% | +949 |
| Matt Vierling | PHI | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 9.5% | +952 |
| Steven Kwan | CLE | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 9.5% | +954 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Trevor Williams | 9.5% | +957 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | No | 111 | Tony Gonsolin | 9.5% | +958 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | Yes | 94 | Nestor Cortes | 9.4% | +962 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | Yes | 94 | Nestor Cortes | 9.4% | +962 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | Yes | 94 | Nestor Cortes | 9.4% | +962 |
| Carlos Santana | KC | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 9.4% | +966 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | KC | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 9.4% | +966 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | No | 92 | Josh Fleming | 9.4% | +966 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | No | 90 | Ryan Feltner | 9.2% | +984 |
| Jason Heyward | CHC | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 9.1% | +993 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Anthony DeSclafani | 9.1% | +996 |
| Jason Castro | HOU | Yes | 102 | Trevor Williams | 8.9% | +1018 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Kyle Gibson | 8.9% | +1027 |
| Edmundo Sosa | STL | No | 103 | Chi Chi Gonzalez | 8.8% | +1031 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Trevor Williams | 8.7% | +1051 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Erick Fedde | 8.7% | +1053 |
| Ryan McKenna | BAL | No | 112 | Erick Fedde | 8.7% | +1053 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | Yes | 94 | Josh Fleming | 8.6% | +1057 |
| Jonah Bride | OAK | Yes | 94 | Marco Gonzales | 8.6% | +1057 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 108 | Jon Heasley | 8.6% | +1067 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | No | 90 | Ryan Feltner | 8.5% | +1072 |
| Christian Vazquez | BOS | No | 99 | Beau Brieske | 8.5% | +1072 |
| Owen Miller | CLE | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 8.5% | +1083 |
| Riley Greene | DET | No | 93 | Rich Hill | 8.2% | +1113 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Kyle Gibson | 8.2% | +1117 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 101 | Chi Chi Gonzalez | 8.1% | +1141 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | ARI | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 8.0% | +1149 |
| Andrew Benintendi | KC | No | 108 | Reid Detmers | 8.0% | +1150 |
| Tommy La Stella | SF | Yes | 100 | Spencer Strider | 8.0% | +1152 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Anthony DeSclafani | 8.0% | +1152 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | No | 92 | Matthew Swarmer | 8.0% | +1153 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 7.9% | +1161 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | Yes | 94 | Marco Gonzales | 7.9% | +1174 |
| Brandon Marsh | LAA | Yes | 108 | Jon Heasley | 7.7% | +1199 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Aaron Civale | 7.7% | +1203 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Whit Merrifield | KC | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Tyler Heineman | PIT | Yes | 95 | Matthew Swarmer | 7.6% | +1212 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 90 | Daniel Castano | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Matt Carpenter | NYY | No | 92 | Josh Fleming | 7.5% | +1227 |
| Didi Gregorius | PHI | No | 101 | Martin Perez | 7.5% | +1229 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 93 | Beau Brieske | 7.5% | +1238 |
| Jarren Duran | BOS | Yes | 93 | Beau Brieske | 7.5% | +1238 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 7.4% | +1253 |
| Eric Haase | DET | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 7.4% | +1253 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 7.3% | +1270 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 92 | Roansy Contreras | 7.2% | +1281 |
| Harrison Bader | STL | No | 103 | Chi Chi Gonzalez | 7.2% | +1287 |
| Jake Hager | ARI | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 7.2% | +1292 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | No | 95 | Sean Manaea | 7.1% | +1306 |
| Jacob Stallings | MIA | No | 90 | Ryan Feltner | 7.1% | +1309 |
| Tomas Nido | NYM | No | 101 | Jose Urquidy | 7.1% | +1312 |
| Mauricio Dubon | HOU | No | 101 | Trevor Williams | 7.1% | +1312 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 6.9% | +1352 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 6.9% | +1352 |
| Nomar Mazara | SD | Yes | 95 | Zac Gallen | 6.8% | +1363 |
| Alfonso Rivas | CHC | Yes | 95 | Roansy Contreras | 6.8% | +1363 |
| C.J. Abrams | SD | Yes | 95 | Zac Gallen | 6.8% | +1363 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Tony Gonsolin | 6.8% | +1364 |
| Tyler Wade | LAA | Yes | 108 | Jon Heasley | 6.8% | +1370 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | No | 95 | Kyle Gibson | 6.7% | +1394 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 6.6% | +1407 |
| Adam Frazier | SEA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 6.6% | +1407 |
| Leury Garcia | CHW | No | 106 | Kevin Gausman | 6.5% | +1428 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Kevin Gausman | 6.5% | +1428 |
| Gabriel Moreno | TOR | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 6.5% | +1428 |
| Omar Narvaez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Jack Flaherty | 6.4% | +1464 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | MIA | No | 90 | Ryan Feltner | 6.4% | +1471 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | Yes | 99 | Aaron Civale | 6.3% | +1494 |
| Marwin Gonzalez | NYY | Yes | 94 | Josh Fleming | 6.2% | +1507 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | NYY | Yes | 94 | Josh Fleming | 6.2% | +1507 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | Yes | 111 | Dylan Cease | 6.0% | +1554 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 97 | Spencer Strider | 6.0% | +1560 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | Yes | 90 | Daniel Castano | 6.0% | +1573 |
| Austin Nola | SD | No | 96 | Zac Gallen | 6.0% | +1576 |
