MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 9/2/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | Dallas Keuchel | 10.0 | 5.62 | 49.2% | 33.3% | 20.6% | 11.6% | 6.0% |
| CIN | Kyle Freeland | 9.5 | 4.82 | 35.2% | 21.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| TOR | Johan Oviedo | 8.0 | 4.77 | 34.4% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| STL | Adrian Sampson | 8.0 | 4.74 | 33.9% | 20.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| COL | Luis Cessa | 9.5 | 4.68 | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| HOU | Reid Detmers | 8.5 | 4.57 | 30.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| NYM | Josiah Gray | 7.5 | 4.53 | 30.2% | 17.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| BAL | JP Sears | 8.0 | 4.44 | 28.7% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| TEX | Nick Pivetta | 10.0 | 4.38 | 27.7% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| MIL | Zach Davies | 8.5 | 4.32 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| DET | Daniel Lynch | 8.5 | 4.25 | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| KC | Drew Hutchison | 8.5 | 4.25 | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| MIN | Davis Martin | 8.0 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| ARI | Eric Lauer | 8.5 | 4.18 | 24.4% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| LAD | Yu Darvish | 7.5 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| SEA | Zach Plesac | 7.5 | 3.99 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| LAA | Lance McCullers | 8.5 | 3.93 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| ATL | Sandy Alcantara | 7.0 | 3.92 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| TB | Domingo German | 7.5 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| CHW | Sonny Gray | 8.0 | 3.80 | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| PHI | Alex Cobb | 7.5 | 3.75 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| SF | Kyle Gibson | 7.5 | 3.75 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| NYY | Jeffrey Springs | 7.5 | 3.63 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| OAK | Dean Kremer | 8.0 | 3.56 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| CLE | Luis Castillo | 7.5 | 3.51 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| SD | Dustin May | 7.5 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| CHC | Jordan Montgomery | 8.0 | 3.26 | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| PIT | Alek Manoah | 8.0 | 3.23 | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| MIA | Charlie Morton | 7.0 | 3.08 | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| WSH | David Peterson | 7.5 | 2.97 | 8.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | MIA | 7.6 | 94.6% | 87.8% | 77.4% | 64.1% | 49.6% | 35.7% | 24.0% |
| Luis Castillo | CLE | 6.5 | 89.0% | 78.0% | 63.5% | 47.8% | 33.2% | 21.2% | 12.5% |
| Alek Manoah | PIT | 6.5 | 88.9% | 77.7% | 63.2% | 47.5% | 32.9% | 21.0% | 12.3% |
| Yu Darvish | LAD | 6.4 | 88.3% | 76.8% | 62.1% | 46.2% | 31.7% | 20.0% | 11.7% |
| David Peterson | WSH | 6.4 | 87.9% | 76.1% | 61.2% | 45.3% | 30.8% | 19.3% | 11.2% |
| Sandy Alcantara | ATL | 6.1 | 85.7% | 72.7% | 56.9% | 40.8% | 26.9% | 16.2% | 9.0% |
| Dustin May | SD | 5.9 | 84.0% | 70.1% | 53.8% | 37.8% | 24.2% | 14.3% | 7.7% |
| Nick Pivetta | TEX | 5.8 | 82.9% | 68.6% | 52.0% | 36.0% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
| Alex Cobb | PHI | 5.7 | 82.2% | 67.6% | 50.8% | 34.9% | 21.8% | 12.5% | 6.6% |
| Eric Lauer | ARI | 5.7 | 82.2% | 67.6% | 50.8% | 34.9% | 21.8% | 12.5% | 6.6% |
| Jeffrey Springs | NYY | 5.7 | 81.8% | 67.0% | 50.2% | 34.2% | 21.3% | 12.2% | 6.4% |
| Lance McCullers | LAA | 5.4 | 78.3% | 62.2% | 44.9% | 29.4% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Jordan Montgomery | CHC | 5.2 | 75.5% | 58.5% | 41.0% | 26.0% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Sonny Gray | CHW | 5.1 | 75.0% | 57.9% | 40.3% | 25.4% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Josiah Gray | NYM | 5.0 | 72.9% | 55.2% | 37.7% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Gibson | SF | 4.8 | 70.1% | 51.8% | 34.4% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Reid Detmers | HOU | 4.6 | 67.4% | 48.7% | 31.4% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Domingo German | TB | 4.6 | 66.8% | 47.9% | 30.7% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Johan Oviedo | TOR | 4.5 | 65.9% | 47.0% | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Zach Plesac | SEA | 4.4 | 64.7% | 45.6% | 28.7% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Daniel Lynch | DET | 4.3 | 62.3% | 43.0% | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Freeland | CIN | 4.1 | 58.8% | 39.3% | 23.2% | 12.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Dean Kremer | OAK | 4.1 | 57.6% | 38.1% | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Davis Martin | MIN | 4.1 | 57.6% | 38.1% | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Zach Davies | MIL | 3.8 | 52.7% | 33.2% | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Drew Hutchison | KC | 3.6 | 49.1% | 29.9% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Adrian Sampson | STL | 3.6 | 48.3% | 29.2% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| JP Sears | BAL | 3.5 | 46.3% | 27.5% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Luis Cessa | COL | 3.2 | 40.0% | 22.1% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Dallas Keuchel | BOS | 3.2 | 39.5% | 21.8% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 111 | Davis Martin | 25.8% | +285 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 25.2% | +295 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 25.1% | +300 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 24.4% | +310 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 24.1% | +315 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 107 | Dustin May | 23.9% | +320 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Josiah Gray | 23.9% | +320 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 102 | Dustin May | 23.5% | +325 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 91 | Adrian Sampson | 23.2% | +330 |
| Shea Langeliers | OAK | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 23.1% | +330 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 22.5% | +345 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Alek Manoah | 22.4% | +345 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 91 | Adrian Sampson | 22.3% | +350 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 22.2% | +350 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 21.5% | +365 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | No | 108 | Reid Detmers | 21.1% | +375 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 103 | Zach Plesac | 21.1% | +375 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 99 | Zach Davies | 21.1% | +375 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 93 | Eric Lauer | 20.8% | +380 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 20.7% | +385 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 20.7% | +385 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Yu Darvish | 20.2% | +395 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Yu Darvish | 20.2% | +395 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 107 | Dustin May | 20.2% | +395 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 87 | Kyle Gibson | 20.1% | +395 |
| Stuart Fairchild | CIN | Yes | 111 | Kyle Freeland | 19.9% | +400 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 93 | Zach Davies | 19.8% | +405 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 19.6% | +410 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 112 | JP Sears | 19.4% | +415 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Sonny Gray | 19.3% | +420 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 19.1% | +425 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 19.1% | +425 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 19.1% | +425 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 19.0% | +425 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 18.9% | +430 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Josiah Gray | 18.8% | +430 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 95 | Josiah Gray | 18.8% | +430 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | Yes | 112 | JP Sears | 18.7% | +435 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 18.7% | +435 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 18.5% | +440 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 91 | Adrian Sampson | 18.4% | +445 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | Lance McCullers | 18.3% | +445 |
| Tyler Naquin | NYM | Yes | 95 | Josiah Gray | 18.3% | +445 |
| William Contreras | ATL | No | 97 | Sandy Alcantara | 18.2% | +450 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 93 | Zach Davies | 18.2% | +450 |
| Nick Pratto | KC | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 18.1% | +450 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | Yes | 112 | JP Sears | 18.1% | +455 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 18.0% | +455 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 18.0% | +455 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 99 | Zach Davies | 17.7% | +465 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | Yes | 99 | Dallas Keuchel | 17.7% | +465 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 17.5% | +470 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 98 | Josiah Gray | 17.2% | +480 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Sandy Alcantara | 17.2% | +480 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 87 | Kyle Gibson | 17.1% | +485 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 106 | Davis Martin | 17.1% | +485 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | Yes | 99 | Dallas Keuchel | 17.0% | +485 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 17.0% | +485 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 16.9% | +490 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 98 | David Peterson | 16.9% | +490 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 16.8% | +495 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 16.5% | +505 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | No | 108 | Reid Detmers | 16.4% | +510 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Luis Castillo | 16.3% | +510 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 16.2% | +515 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 16.2% | +515 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 102 | Yu Darvish | 16.2% | +515 |
| Stone Garrett | ARI | Yes | 93 | Eric Lauer | 16.2% | +515 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 113 | Luis Cessa | 16.2% | +520 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 16.0% | +525 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | No | 92 | Jeffrey Springs | 15.9% | +525 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Sandy Alcantara | 15.9% | +530 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 106 | Davis Martin | 15.7% | +535 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Sonny Gray | 15.7% | +535 |
| Eric Haase | DET | Yes | 99 | Daniel Lynch | 15.7% | +535 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 103 | Zach Plesac | 15.7% | +540 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 15.3% | +555 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | Yes | 111 | Kyle Freeland | 15.0% | +565 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Luis Castillo | 15.0% | +565 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 15.0% | +570 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | ARI | Yes | 93 | Eric Lauer | 14.9% | +570 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 14.7% | +580 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | No | 91 | Adrian Sampson | 14.5% | +590 |
| Wil Myers | SD | No | 107 | Dustin May | 14.5% | +590 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 103 | Zach Plesac | 14.3% | +600 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 14.3% | +600 |
| Jordan Luplow | ARI | Yes | 93 | Eric Lauer | 14.3% | +600 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 94 | Domingo German | 14.3% | +600 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | No | 93 | Dallas Keuchel | 14.0% | +615 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 113 | Luis Cessa | 13.9% | +620 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 13.8% | +625 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 111 | Davis Martin | 13.7% | +630 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 13.6% | +635 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Alek Manoah | 13.4% | +650 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Sandy Alcantara | 13.3% | +655 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 99 | Zach Davies | 13.2% | +660 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 90 | Kyle Gibson | 13.1% | +660 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 13.1% | +665 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Yu Darvish | 13.0% | +665 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 94 | Domingo German | 13.0% | +670 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | Yes | 93 | Eric Lauer | 12.9% | +675 |
| Franchy Cordero | BOS | No | 93 | Dallas Keuchel | 12.9% | +675 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | Yes | 99 | Dallas Keuchel | 12.9% | +675 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 93 | Zach Davies | 12.9% | +675 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 102 | Dustin May | 12.8% | +685 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | No | 92 | Alek Manoah | 12.8% | +685 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | Yes | 112 | JP Sears | 12.7% | +685 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 112 | JP Sears | 12.7% | +685 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Alek Manoah | 12.7% | +685 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 12.7% | +690 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 12.5% | +700 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 92 | Domingo German | 12.4% | +710 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Yu Darvish | 12.3% | +715 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Sonny Gray | 12.2% | +720 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | Yes | 111 | Davis Martin | 12.2% | +725 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Yu Darvish | 12.0% | +730 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 103 | Lance McCullers | 11.9% | +740 |
| JJ Bleday | MIA | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 11.8% | +745 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 11.6% | +760 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 11.5% | +775 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 11.5% | +775 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Luis Castillo | 11.4% | +780 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | Yes | 98 | David Peterson | 11.3% | +785 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | Yes | 98 | David Peterson | 11.3% | +785 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 103 | Lance McCullers | 11.2% | +795 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 11.1% | +800 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 94 | Domingo German | 11.0% | +810 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 107 | Dustin May | 10.8% | +830 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Sonny Gray | 10.7% | +835 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Sonny Gray | 10.7% | +835 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 10.6% | +840 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 95 | Alek Manoah | 10.6% | +840 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 10.6% | +845 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | Yes | 98 | David Peterson | 10.6% | +845 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Yu Darvish | 10.5% | +850 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 102 | Dustin May | 10.5% | +850 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 111 | Davis Martin | 10.5% | +850 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 103 | Lance McCullers | 10.4% | +860 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | No | 110 | JP Sears | 10.3% | +870 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 111 | Luis Cessa | 10.3% | +870 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 10.0% | +895 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | Yes | 111 | Kyle Freeland | 10.0% | +895 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | No | 91 | Adrian Sampson | 10.0% | +900 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 9.9% | +910 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 106 | Sonny Gray | 9.9% | +910 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Sandy Alcantara | 9.9% | +915 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 99 | Daniel Lynch | 9.9% | +915 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Yu Darvish | 9.7% | +925 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 94 | Domingo German | 9.6% | +945 |
| Riley Greene | DET | No | 94 | Daniel Lynch | 9.6% | +945 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | Yes | 103 | Reid Detmers | 9.4% | +965 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 97 | Adrian Sampson | 9.3% | +975 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 9.3% | +975 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | Yes | 112 | JP Sears | 9.2% | +985 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 95 | Josiah Gray | 9.1% | +995 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | Yes | 111 | Kyle Freeland | 9.1% | +995 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 106 | Davis Martin | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Javier Baez | DET | Yes | 99 | Daniel Lynch | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Meibrys Viloria | TEX | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 9.0% | +1015 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 102 | Dustin May | 8.9% | +1020 |
| Garrett Mitchell | MIL | Yes | 99 | Zach Davies | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | Yes | 94 | Jeffrey Springs | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 93 | Eric Lauer | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 97 | Adrian Sampson | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 8.5% | +1070 |
| P.J. Higgins | CHC | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Nelson Velazquez | CHC | Yes | 91 | Jordan Montgomery | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 95 | Alek Manoah | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Sandy Alcantara | 8.4% | +1095 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 8.4% | +1095 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | Yes | 99 | Daniel Lynch | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Brad Miller | TEX | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | Yes | 111 | Kyle Freeland | 8.2% | +1120 |
| Omar Narvaez | MIL | Yes | 99 | Zach Davies | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Sandy Leon | MIN | Yes | 111 | Davis Martin | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 99 | Luis Castillo | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Luis Castillo | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 87 | Kyle Gibson | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 108 | Lance McCullers | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 108 | Lance McCullers | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Kerry Carpenter | DET | No | 94 | Daniel Lynch | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Brett Baty | NYM | Yes | 95 | Josiah Gray | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | No | 93 | Dallas Keuchel | 7.6% | +1215 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | Yes | 99 | Dallas Keuchel | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Willi Castro | DET | Yes | 99 | Daniel Lynch | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 93 | Zach Davies | 7.3% | +1265 |
| Gavin Lux | LAD | Yes | 102 | Yu Darvish | 7.3% | +1270 |
| Austin Romine | CIN | Yes | 111 | Kyle Freeland | 7.3% | +1275 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 7.2% | +1280 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Luis Castillo | 7.0% | +1340 |
| Charles Leblanc | MIA | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Mike Ford | LAA | Yes | 108 | Lance McCullers | 6.8% | +1370 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | No | 113 | Kyle Freeland | 6.8% | +1370 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 6.7% | +1390 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | No | 99 | Eric Lauer | 6.7% | +1390 |
