MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Wednesday 9/21/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | Madison Bumgarner | 8.5 | 5.26 | 43.0% | 27.7% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| BOS | Chase Anderson | 9.5 | 5.24 | 42.6% | 27.4% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| ATL | Paolo Espino | 8.5 | 5.14 | 40.9% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| SF | German Marquez | 9.5 | 5.01 | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| NYY | Roansy Contreras | 8.0 | 4.95 | 37.5% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| BAL | Matt Manning | 8.5 | 4.65 | 32.3% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| TEX | Tucker Davidson | 8.5 | 4.54 | 30.4% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| COL | Logan Webb | 9.5 | 4.49 | 29.5% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| NYM | Adrian Houser | 8.5 | 4.47 | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| CIN | Connor Seabold | 9.5 | 4.26 | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| MIN | Daniel Lynch | 7.5 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| SEA | James Kaprielian | 7.0 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| PHI | Kevin Gausman | 8.0 | 4.04 | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| MIL | Taijuan Walker | 8.5 | 4.03 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| LAA | Dane Dunning | 8.5 | 3.96 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| TOR | Zack Wheeler | 8.0 | 3.96 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| CHW | Triston McKenzie | 7.5 | 3.93 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| SD | Miles Mikolas | 7.5 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| DET | Jordan Lyles | 8.5 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| HOU | Corey Kluber | 7.0 | 3.63 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| STL | Blake Snell | 7.5 | 3.63 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| CLE | Lance Lynn | 7.5 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| KC | Bailey Ober | 7.5 | 3.44 | 13.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| TB | Lance McCullers | 7.0 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| MIA | Marcus Stroman | 6.5 | 3.36 | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| WSH | Bryce Elder | 8.5 | 3.36 | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| ARI | Dustin May | 8.5 | 3.24 | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| CHC | Jesus Luzardo | 6.5 | 3.14 | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| PIT | Luis Severino | 8.0 | 3.05 | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| OAK | Robbie Ray | 7.0 | 2.94 | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | TOR | 7.2 | 92.9% | 84.5% | 72.5% | 58.1% | 43.3% | 29.9% | 19.1% |
| Blake Snell | STL | 6.7 | 90.1% | 79.8% | 65.9% | 50.5% | 35.7% | 23.3% | 14.0% |
| Lance McCullers | TB | 6.4 | 88.3% | 76.7% | 61.9% | 46.1% | 31.6% | 19.9% | 11.6% |
| Jesus Luzardo | CHC | 6.4 | 88.2% | 76.6% | 61.8% | 45.9% | 31.4% | 19.8% | 11.5% |
| Lance Lynn | CLE | 6.4 | 88.0% | 76.3% | 61.3% | 45.4% | 31.0% | 19.4% | 11.3% |
| Kevin Gausman | PHI | 6.4 | 87.9% | 76.1% | 61.2% | 45.3% | 30.8% | 19.3% | 11.2% |
| Triston McKenzie | CHW | 6.3 | 87.5% | 75.5% | 60.4% | 44.5% | 30.1% | 18.7% | 10.8% |
| Robbie Ray | OAK | 6.1 | 86.0% | 73.2% | 57.5% | 41.5% | 27.4% | 16.6% | 9.3% |
| Logan Webb | COL | 5.6 | 80.6% | 65.3% | 48.3% | 32.5% | 19.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Bryce Elder | WSH | 5.5 | 79.4% | 63.6% | 46.4% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Corey Kluber | HOU | 5.0 | 72.9% | 55.2% | 37.7% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Dane Dunning | LAA | 4.8 | 70.3% | 52.0% | 34.6% | 20.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Marcus Stroman | MIA | 4.8 | 70.1% | 51.8% | 34.4% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Taijuan Walker | MIL | 4.7 | 69.7% | 51.3% | 33.9% | 20.1% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Miles Mikolas | SD | 4.7 | 69.5% | 51.1% | 33.7% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Dustin May | ARI | 4.7 | 68.6% | 50.0% | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| German Marquez | SF | 4.7 | 68.4% | 49.8% | 32.5% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Jordan Lyles | DET | 4.5 | 65.1% | 46.0% | 29.0% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| James Kaprielian | SEA | 4.3 | 63.0% | 43.7% | 27.0% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Lynch | MIN | 4.3 | 62.1% | 42.8% | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Bailey Ober | KC | 4.2 | 60.5% | 41.0% | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Madison Bumgarner | LAD | 4.0 | 56.3% | 36.7% | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Luis Severino | PIT | 4.0 | 55.7% | 36.1% | 20.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Houser | NYM | 3.9 | 55.5% | 35.9% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Matt Manning | BAL | 3.8 | 52.4% | 33.0% | 18.3% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Chase Anderson | BOS | 3.6 | 48.7% | 29.5% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Connor Seabold | CIN | 3.6 | 47.4% | 28.4% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Paolo Espino | ATL | 3.5 | 46.8% | 27.8% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Tucker Davidson | TEX | 3.4 | 43.7% | 25.2% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Roansy Contreras | NYY | 3.2 | 39.3% | 21.6% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 31.7% | +215 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 113 | Chase Anderson | 27.4% | +265 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 106 | Kevin Gausman | 26.8% | +275 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Madison Bumgarner | 26.4% | +280 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 109 | Luis Severino | 26.0% | +285 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Roansy Contreras | 25.1% | +300 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 25.1% | +300 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 109 | Luis Severino | 25.1% | +300 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 109 | Roansy Contreras | 24.1% | +315 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 23.7% | +320 |
| Stuart Fairchild | CIN | No | 111 | Connor Seabold | 23.5% | +325 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Yes | 107 | Madison Bumgarner | 23.5% | +325 |
| Nick Maton | PHI | Yes | 106 | Kevin Gausman | 23.1% | +330 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Paolo Espino | 22.4% | +345 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 22.3% | +350 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 22.0% | +355 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 21.8% | +360 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | Yes | 107 | Madison Bumgarner | 21.8% | +360 |
| Trayce Thompson | LAD | Yes | 107 | Madison Bumgarner | 21.8% | +360 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 110 | Zack Wheeler | 21.8% | +360 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 111 | Lance Lynn | 21.7% | +360 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | Yes | 95 | Tucker Davidson | 21.6% | +365 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 21.4% | +365 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 113 | Connor Seabold | 21.4% | +365 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 111 | Chase Anderson | 21.4% | +370 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 108 | Logan Webb | 20.9% | +380 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 108 | German Marquez | 20.9% | +380 |
| David Villar | SF | No | 108 | German Marquez | 20.9% | +380 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 20.9% | +380 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 103 | Roansy Contreras | 20.8% | +380 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Miles Mikolas | 20.7% | +380 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 110 | Kevin Gausman | 20.6% | +385 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 97 | Paolo Espino | 20.4% | +390 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | Yes | 94 | Robbie Ray | 20.4% | +390 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 20.3% | +395 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Triston McKenzie | 19.9% | +400 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 103 | Adrian Houser | 19.7% | +410 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | No | 101 | Tucker Davidson | 19.7% | +410 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 107 | Dustin May | 19.6% | +410 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 110 | Zack Wheeler | 19.5% | +415 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 19.4% | +415 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 19.4% | +415 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | No | 97 | Bryce Elder | 19.3% | +415 |
| Dermis Garcia | OAK | Yes | 94 | Robbie Ray | 19.3% | +420 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Paolo Espino | 19.0% | +425 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 113 | Connor Seabold | 18.9% | +430 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 106 | Triston McKenzie | 18.9% | +430 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 18.9% | +430 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 110 | Zack Wheeler | 18.8% | +430 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 108 | German Marquez | 18.6% | +440 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 101 | Adrian Houser | 18.6% | +440 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Matt Manning | 18.5% | +440 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 18.4% | +445 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Paolo Espino | 18.4% | +445 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 18.3% | +445 |
| William Contreras | ATL | No | 97 | Paolo Espino | 18.2% | +450 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 110 | Zack Wheeler | 18.2% | +450 |
| Austin Barnes | LAD | Yes | 107 | Madison Bumgarner | 18.1% | +450 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 106 | Kevin Gausman | 18.0% | +455 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Triston McKenzie | 18.0% | +455 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 101 | Dane Dunning | 18.0% | +455 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Roansy Contreras | 17.9% | +460 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 17.9% | +460 |
| Jesus Aguilar | BAL | No | 112 | Matt Manning | 17.8% | +460 |
| Eric Haase | DET | No | 112 | Jordan Lyles | 17.8% | +460 |
| Mark Mathias | TEX | Yes | 95 | Tucker Davidson | 17.7% | +465 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Paolo Espino | 17.7% | +465 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | No | 92 | Robbie Ray | 17.4% | +475 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 101 | Adrian Houser | 17.4% | +475 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Taijuan Walker | 17.4% | +475 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Matt Manning | 17.2% | +480 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 97 | Bryce Elder | 17.1% | +485 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 17.0% | +490 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 92 | Bailey Ober | 17.0% | +490 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 102 | Dustin May | 16.9% | +495 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 16.7% | +500 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 16.7% | +500 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 16.7% | +500 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Triston McKenzie | 16.4% | +510 |
| Zack Collins | PIT | Yes | 109 | Luis Severino | 16.4% | +510 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 96 | Miles Mikolas | 16.4% | +510 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Connor Seabold | 16.3% | +510 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 16.0% | +525 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Bailey Ober | 15.8% | +530 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 107 | Madison Bumgarner | 15.3% | +555 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Paolo Espino | 15.3% | +555 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 111 | Lance Lynn | 15.2% | +555 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 102 | Madison Bumgarner | 15.1% | +560 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Triston McKenzie | 15.1% | +565 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | 109 | Luis Severino | 15.0% | +565 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 109 | Logan Webb | 15.0% | +565 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 14.9% | +570 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 14.9% | +570 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 14.7% | +580 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Roansy Contreras | 14.7% | +580 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 97 | Bryce Elder | 14.6% | +585 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 14.5% | +590 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | Yes | 95 | Tucker Davidson | 14.5% | +590 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | No | 101 | Tucker Davidson | 14.4% | +590 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 106 | Lance Lynn | 14.4% | +595 |
| Kerry Carpenter | DET | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 14.4% | +595 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 109 | Logan Webb | 14.3% | +600 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 111 | Connor Seabold | 14.2% | +605 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 14.2% | +605 |
| Nelson Velazquez | CHC | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 13.9% | +620 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 108 | German Marquez | 13.9% | +620 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Madison Bumgarner | 13.8% | +625 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Bailey Ober | 13.7% | +630 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 94 | Lance McCullers | 13.6% | +635 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 13.6% | +635 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 102 | Dustin May | 13.5% | +640 |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | Yes | 102 | Dustin May | 13.5% | +640 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | No | 111 | Chase Anderson | 13.5% | +645 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Connor Seabold | 13.5% | +645 |
| Yu Chang | BOS | No | 111 | Chase Anderson | 13.5% | +645 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Miles Mikolas | 13.4% | +650 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 110 | Zack Wheeler | 13.4% | +650 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | Yes | 95 | Tucker Davidson | 13.2% | +660 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 113 | Chase Anderson | 13.1% | +660 |
| Triston Casas | BOS | Yes | 113 | Chase Anderson | 13.1% | +660 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Matt Manning | 12.8% | +680 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Matt Manning | 12.8% | +680 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 109 | Luis Severino | 12.7% | +685 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 109 | Luis Severino | 12.7% | +685 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 101 | Adrian Houser | 12.7% | +690 |
| Tyler Naquin | NYM | Yes | 101 | Adrian Houser | 12.7% | +690 |
| Mickey Moniak | LAA | Yes | 101 | Dane Dunning | 12.7% | +690 |
| Livan Soto | LAA | Yes | 101 | Dane Dunning | 12.7% | +690 |
| Alan Trejo | COL | No | 108 | Logan Webb | 12.4% | +705 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 12.1% | +730 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Miles Mikolas | 12.0% | +730 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 112 | Jordan Lyles | 12.0% | +735 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 12.0% | +735 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 94 | Lance McCullers | 11.7% | +755 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 11.7% | +755 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 108 | Logan Webb | 11.6% | +760 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 111 | Lance Lynn | 11.3% | +780 |
| David Bote | CHC | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 11.2% | +790 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 112 | Jordan Lyles | 11.2% | +795 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 111 | Chase Anderson | 11.1% | +800 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 110 | Kevin Gausman | 11.0% | +805 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 110 | Zack Wheeler | 11.0% | +805 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 92 | Bailey Ober | 11.0% | +810 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 106 | Kevin Gausman | 10.9% | +820 |
| Stone Garrett | ARI | No | 107 | Dustin May | 10.8% | +830 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 106 | Triston McKenzie | 10.7% | +835 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Triston McKenzie | 10.7% | +835 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Miles Mikolas | 10.6% | +840 |
| Riley Adams | WSH | No | 97 | Bryce Elder | 10.6% | +845 |
| Vaughn Grissom | ATL | No | 97 | Paolo Espino | 10.6% | +845 |
| Jerar Encarnacion | MIA | No | 90 | Marcus Stroman | 10.6% | +845 |
| Charles Leblanc | MIA | No | 90 | Marcus Stroman | 10.6% | +845 |
| Matt Wallner | MIN | No | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 10.6% | +845 |
| Mike Ford | LAA | Yes | 101 | Dane Dunning | 10.4% | +860 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 10.4% | +860 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Yes | 110 | Matt Manning | 10.4% | +860 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | Yes | 109 | Roansy Contreras | 10.3% | +865 |
| Abraham Toro | SEA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 10.3% | +870 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 94 | Lance McCullers | 10.3% | +870 |
| Matt Vierling | PHI | No | 110 | Kevin Gausman | 10.2% | +880 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | Yes | 94 | Robbie Ray | 10.2% | +885 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 90 | Marcus Stroman | 9.9% | +910 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | No | 90 | Marcus Stroman | 9.9% | +910 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Triston McKenzie | 9.9% | +910 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 9.8% | +920 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 9.8% | +920 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 102 | Dustin May | 9.7% | +925 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Taijuan Walker | 9.7% | +935 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 101 | Dane Dunning | 9.7% | +935 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 111 | Triston McKenzie | 9.7% | +935 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 103 | Adrian Houser | 9.6% | +940 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 92 | Lance McCullers | 9.6% | +940 |
| Sam Haggerty | SEA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 9.6% | +940 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 109 | Logan Webb | 9.5% | +955 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 110 | Kevin Gausman | 9.4% | +965 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 106 | Lance Lynn | 9.1% | +1000 |
| P.J. Higgins | CHC | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 94 | Lance McCullers | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Magneuris Sierra | LAA | Yes | 101 | Dane Dunning | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Sam Huff | TEX | Yes | 95 | Tucker Davidson | 8.7% | +1045 |
| Harold Castro | DET | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Connor Wong | BOS | No | 111 | Chase Anderson | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 110 | Zack Wheeler | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | Yes | 92 | Daniel Lynch | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 108 | Logan Webb | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 108 | Logan Webb | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Alex Call | WSH | No | 97 | Bryce Elder | 8.4% | +1095 |
| Michael Massey | KC | Yes | 92 | Bailey Ober | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | 101 | Taijuan Walker | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Bubba Thompson | TEX | Yes | 95 | Tucker Davidson | 7.9% | +1160 |
| Victor Reyes | DET | Yes | 110 | Jordan Lyles | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Robinson Chirinos | BAL | No | 112 | Matt Manning | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Matt Manning | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Christian Arroyo | BOS | No | 111 | Chase Anderson | 7.7% | +1195 |
