FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Sunday 5/14/23
Our daily helper is available every day to analyze FanDuel's main slate and help give you a starting point when you're building lineups. Be sure to also incorporate our great tools into your research process.
Whether you're looking for daily projections, the latest starting lineups and weather, or batting and pitching heat maps to find the best matchups -- we've got you covered!
Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.
| Team | Opp SP | Opp | O/U | Moneyline | Implied Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | Louie Varland | MIN | 7.5 | -102 | 3.69 |
| CHW | Hunter Brown | HOU | 8 | 120 | 3.74 |
| DET | Logan Gilbert | SEA | 8.5 | 144 | 3.79 |
| MIN | Marcus Stroman | CHC | 7.5 | -116 | 3.81 |
| PIT | Kyle Gibson | BAL | 8 | 110 | 3.83 |
| CIN | Braxton Garrett | MIA | 8.5 | 128 | 3.91 |
| NYY | Zach Eflin | TB | 8.5 | 102 | 4.15 |
| BAL | Mitch Keller | PIT | 8 | -130 | 4.17 |
| HOU | Lucas Giolito | CHW | 8 | -142 | 4.26 |
| KC | Colin Rea | MIL | 9.5 | 138 | 4.29 |
| TB | Clarke Schmidt | NYY | 8.5 | -120 | 4.35 |
| MIA | Luke Weaver | CIN | 8.5 | -152 | 4.59 |
| SEA | Joey Wentz | DET | 8.5 | -172 | 4.71 |
| ATL | Yusei Kikuchi | TOR | 9.5 | -106 | 4.73 |
| TOR | Collin McHugh | ATL | 9.5 | -110 | 4.77 |
| MIL | Jordan Lyles | KC | 9.5 | -164 | 5.21 |
Pitchers
Logan Gilbert ($10,000)
Despite a recent 6.3% jump to his highest salary point this season, Seattle's third-year starter rates as numberFire's top pitcher with a 34.4 FanDuel point projection against a Detroit Tigers' lineup with a .261 weighted on-base average (wOBA) and 25.4% K-rate.
Through 40.1 innings, Gilbert has accounted for his best advanced metrics in seven starts, producing a stellar 2.86 expected Fielding Independent Rating (xFIP), a 31.4% strikeout percentage, and seven or more strikeouts in 57% of his appearances.
In a favorable matchup versus seven batters with K-rates between 24.2% and 36.8%, the 26-year old has a clear and easy path towards a potential high-ceiling performance.
Hunter Brown ($9,300)
After a 3.1% drop to his lowest salary this month, Brown is another option to consider with a 3.80 xFIP, a 24.1% K-rate, and a 10.0% swinging strike percentage versus a Chicago White Sox's offense with a .292 wOBA and a 22.9% K-rate in their last 315 plate appearances in this split.
While the 24-year old has not been in top form in two starts during May (4.83 xFIP, 14.3% walk percentage), the Astros right-hander still ranks sixth overall with a 28.0 fantasy projection and third in strikeouts with a 5.17 mark.
Braxton Garrett ($6,400)
Among Sunday's 16 pitching options, Miami's left-hander ranks first in value at his position with a 4.52 rating versus a Cincinnati Reds' team with a non-threatening 3.91 expected run total.
Through 31.2 innings this season despite recording a 5.97 Earned Run Average, Garrett is due for a change in luck when examining his expected production (3.79 xFIP) and his bloated .385 batting average on balls in play (career .347).
With some positive regression heading his direction, the Marlins' starter deserves some consideration as a lower salary option, ranking fourth overall with a 28.9 fantasy projection and 4.81 expected strikeouts.
Stacks
In a great spot versus Jordan Lyles, Milwaukee's 5.21 expected run total is first among today's offenses versus a low-strikeout right-hander with a scary 5.48 xFIP and a 17.0% K-rate through 49.1 innings.
To best attack his splits against left-handed hitting (16.1% career K-rate, 5.03 xFIP), ideal Milwaukee stacks should feature Christian Yelich (.297 expected average, 8.5% barrel rate), Rowdy Tellez (12.6% barrel rate) and Victor Caratini (.275 expected average, 9.4% barrel rate) while Brian Anderson (10.8% barrel rate) and Willy Adames (13.2% barrel rate) offer power from the right side.
Despite averaging 1.33 runs in their last three contests, Atlanta's offense has a great opportunity to surpass their 4.73 expected run total against Toronto's left-hander Yusei Kikuchi.
In 37.2 innings this season while Kikuchi has recorded a 3.35 Earned Run Average, the veteran is heading towards some rough times when examining his 4.28 xFIP and his 9.9% opposing barrel percentage.
Atlanta correlations should mainly involve their right-handed bats to attack Kikuchi's outstanding weakness (career 4.45 xFIP, .362 wOBA) including Ronald Acuna (.344 expected average, 14.0% barrel rate), Ozzie Albies (.274 expected average, 11.6% barrel rate), Austin Riley (.318 expected wOBA), Travis d'Arnaud (.295 expected average), Marcell Ozuna (13.4% barrel rate, .359 expected wOBA), and Orlando Arcia (.276 expected average).
Joey Wentz will make his 15th career start in a difficult spot against a Seattle lineup ranked fourth on Sunday with an underrated 4.71 expected team total.
In his second Major League stint, the Tigers' southpaw has struggled to establish himself through 34.0 innings, accounting a 5.04 xFIP, a low 18.8% strikeout percentage, and a 9.0% walk rate.
With neutral overall splits, Seattle's best power hitters are main targets in stacks including Julio Rodriguez (11.2% barrel rate, .462 expected slugging), Eugenio Suarez (9.0% barrel rate), Teoscar Hernandez (.484 expected slugging, 15.3% barrel rate), and A.J. Pollock (11.3% barrel rate, .408 expected slugging).
