MLB Betting Guide for Friday 7/28/23: The Twins Are Primed to Flex Their Offense Tonight
Baseball has got you covered if you want a large inventory of options to bet.
From moneylines to run totals to first-five-inning wagers, we have plenty of ways to bet the long, arduous MLB schedule nearly every day. Daily outlooks can be vastly different due to starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced stats can let us know if an individual pitcher, a bullpen, or a team is due for positive -- or negative -- regression.
With that said, which MLB betting odds from FanDuel Sportsbook are most appealing today?
Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated information.
Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals
Twins Team Total Over 5.5 (-111)
The Minnesota Twins are solid -166 moneyline favorites on the road against the Kansas City Royals and can put their offense on display tonight.
Right from the jump, we are greeted by elite hitting weather in Kansas City with the temperature near 100 degrees and the wind blowing out to left field at 10-plus mph. We should see the ball flying tonight, and we want to capitalize on that by taking over 5.5 runs for the Twins team total.
They will be up against Brady Singer, who comes in with a 5.55 ERA, 5.15 xERA, 4.56 skill-interactive ERA (SIERA), 18.8% strikeout rate, 0.99 HR/9, and a 37.9% hard-contact rate this season. It's truly nothing special from Singer and not a pitcher the Twins should be worried about.
When it comes to the Twins' offense, they have a 109 wRC+ (8th), .325 wOBA (10th), .186 ISO (6th), and 38.6% fly-ball rate (10th) versus right-handed pitchers. They have clear power and consistency in this split, putting them in a spot to get some runs on the board quickly and go over their 5.5 team total.
Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves
Braves Runline -1.5 (+112)
The Atlanta Braves are hosting the Milwaukee Brewers tonight, where the scoring is going to come early and often for the home team.
The Brew Crew will have Adrian Houser on the mound, who has mediocre numbers and is due for some negative regression. Houser comes in with a 3.86 ERA, 4.35 xERA, 4.70 SIERA, and 1.00 HR/9. His ERA is outperforming both his xERA and SIERA, signaling he should start allowing more runs.
The Braves are among the elite offenses in the league, and with the power they have in their lineup, winning by multiple runs shouldn't be an issue for them.
To get into the specifics, the Braves come in with a 115 wRC+ (4th), .215 ISO (1st), .345 wOBA (1st), and 37.% hard-contact rate (1st) versus right-handed pitchers this season. Their offense has power from top to bottom, allowing them to rack up runs quickly and help them cover the -1.5 runline tonight.
