Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 7
Avoid A.J. Green as a Double-Digit Favorite
The trend we just discussed could backfire because A.J. Green is one of the best receivers in the league and could easily destroy the Cleveland Browns, but using what we know about Lewis' coaching tendencies in these situations, it may be worth avoiding him in daily fantasy football.
According to the Rotoviz Game Splits app, Green has played in three games where the Bengals were double-digit favorites. In those games, he only averaged 9.37 half-PPR points. His career average in all games is 14.78 half-PPR points per game.
If you want to deploy Green, I wouldn't blame you. In fact, Cleveland ranks 26th in the league against the pass, per our schedule-adjusted metrics. But he is priced at $8,500, the third-most expensive of all wide receivers. In a game where the Bengals may not be forced to pass, he seems less likely to exceed his cost on FanDuel.
