Complete 2016 NFL Playoff and Seeding Odds Entering Week 17
Oakland Raiders
Most likely seed: 2 (51.27%)
The Oakland Raiders are already in the playoffs, but there are a wide range of outcomes for where they'll be seeded. Most of it hinges on whether they can defeat the Denver Broncos on Sunday.
Right now, numberFire's algorithms give the Raiders a 49.00% chance of knocking off the Broncos in Denver. You can assume that'd be higher were it not for Derek Carr and his broken leg, but alas. If they win there, they're division champs and will have a first-round bye regardless.
That would also set the Raiders up with a chance to snag home-field advantage. To get that, they'd need the Miami Dolphins to defeat the New England Patriots, something the algorithms see occurring 31.43% of the time. Overall, the Raiders have 15.40% odds of claiming the 1 seed in the AFC.
Assuming the Raiders lose, they can still get the 2 seed. They'd need the Kansas City Chiefs to lose to the San Diego Chargers, an outcome sitting at 34.64% odds. Adding this to the Raiders' odds of snagging the 2 seed with a win leaves the 2 seed as their most likely destination with 51.27% odds, and they have a 33.33% chance of being the 5 seed.
