Complete 2016 NFL Playoff and Seeding Odds Entering Week 17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Playoff Odds: 0.00%
Technically, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers still have a shot at the playoffs. They need seven different games to break their way, including a tie between Washington and the Giants. Obviously, that's going to result in 0.00% odds.
But for funsies, let's see just how small that number gets. The table below shows the odds of each individual event unfolding. We'll use the total tie rate for the league from 2000 to 2016 as the odds of a tie between Washington and the Giants.
| Event | Odds |
|---|---|
| Buccaneers defeat Panthers | 70.24% |
| Colts defeat Jaguars | 75.89% |
| Cowboys defeat Eagles | 40.79% |
| Titans defeat Texans | 65.24% |
| 49ers defeat Seahawks | 30.06% |
| Lions defeat Packers | 40.95% |
| Giants tie Washington | 0.16% |
Outside of the tie, no event seems superbly outlandish. However, once you toss in that one, minor detail, their odds of making the playoffs fall to 0.00279%. Yes, the decimal is in the correct spot there. It's safe to assume this one's not happening.
