NFL

Fantasy Football: 4 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Wild Card Weekend

Matt Blair  —  @grizzlyblair Jan 5th, 2017
Use your ← → (arrow) keys to browse the slideshow

Start Jordy Nelson as a Home Favorite

The Green Bay Packers are 4.5-point favorites at home versus the New York Giants. The Packers are usually bigger favorites at home, but the Giants' defense is about as good as it gets. We could target the aforementioned Aaron Rodgers, but it could make more sense to target Jordy Nelson.

In seven games as a home favorite this season, Nelson has averaged 17.17 half-PPR points per game. Antonio Brown is averaging less than a point more per game as a home favorite this season. Sticking with Green Bay, Davante Adams is averaging 12.73 half-PPR points per game as a home favorite and should only be targeted in tournaments due to his volatility.

The Packers have the third-highest implied total of the weekend with 24.5 points. Nelson is priced at $8,500 on FanDuel, ranking third among wide receivers. He is a safe play in both cash games and tournaments.

Prev