5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 15

Double Down with Gronk

The Steelers-Patriots game is the only matchup on the main slate that has a total beyond 50 points. This makes it the ideal game to stack in order to get as much exposure to the scoring as possible.

Rob Gronkowski may be the best way to capture that upside. He has he fourth-highest receiving touchdown projection of any player on the main slate. Gronk has also been on the field for a higher percentage of New England's plays than any of their other skill players when he's healthy: Gronk has a 92.9% snap rate in games he's played in (including one where he left early).

Add in a spot that he typically excels in—a shootout—and Gronk is the best tight end play of the week.

Despite being our highest-projected scoring tight end on Sunday, Gronk is $500 cheaper than George Kittle at $6,900 (nice—sometimes it's too easy). Let people points chase with Kittle and pivot to a Gronk-AB stack.