NFL

5 DraftKings Bargains for Week 16

Gabe Garrido  —  @@guhreedoe Dec 20th, 2018
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Robby Anderson, WR, New York Jets

DraftKings Price: $4,500

Projected Points: 9.7

Projected Value (points per $1,000): 2.16

Last week, the sub-$5K receivers crashed down to earth, possibly due to poor quarterback performance. Unfortunately, this week may not fare much better outside of New York Jets receiver Robby Anderson.

Anderson had one of the more attractive stat lines on the week, catching 7 of 11 targets for 96 yards and a touchdown. The return of quarterback Sam Darnold has helped Anderson's weekly floor. Darnold returned to the offense in Week 14 and over their last two games Anderson leads the team in targets with 18.

His 29% target market share over that span is tied with Kenny Stills for the highest among wide receivers below $5,000. His air yards market share (46%) and weighted opportunity rating (WOPR) of 0.76 also sit right behind Stills. These metrics are not that far off from Anderson's 2017 season, where he had a target market share of 22%, air yards share of 38%, and a WOPR of .60.

Based on that, Anderson is still a talented receiver who just happened to be pegged to a rookie quarterback to start the season, and it showed in his early season receiving lines. If this is the return to 2017 form, then Anderson is underpriced based on what we know his capabilities are.

With the season nearing its end, we might finally see the return of the WR2 we saw last year in fantasy, now that he is more connected to his quarterback. If Aaron Rodgers manages to play, the Jets could be trailing for parts of this game, forcing them to attack through the air against the bottom-third pass defense of the Green Bay Packers.

Gabriel Garrido is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Gabriel Garrido also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username guhreedoe28. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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