NFL

4 Reasons the New England Patriots Will Win Super Bowl XLIX

JJ Zachariason  —  @LateRoundQB Jan 27th, 2015
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Tom Brady

After struggling at the start of the year, Tom Brady's turned things around and has played like the Tom Brady we've all watched over the last decade. That's a big advantage for New England, who, analytically (and obviously) have the best quarterback in the game.

As a quick comparison, Brady accumulated 123.69 Passing Net Expected Points this season, good for a per drop back rate of 0.20 NEP. That was good for fifth best in the NFL.

Russell Wilson, on the other hand, saw just 47.65 Passing Net Expected Points this year, which equated to 0.10 NEP per drop back. Clearly, he wasn't nearly as effective.

If you factor in Wilson's absurdly good rushing ability, Brady was still better by roughly 22 expected points this season. This is a win for New England.

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