NFL

5 Daily Fantasy Football Matchups to Exploit in Week 1

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Arizona Cardinals Passing Game

Yup, I made it three recommendations before breaking my own rules. Sweet. Do I care about that? Not a single bit, y'all. Here's my line of thinking here and why numberFire's metrics could back it up.

For the other matchups here, we're looking at a team as a passing or rushing unit. However, when we look at the Cardinals, we're looking at a conglomerate of passers who were a lit match short of a dumpster fire. It was not that way when Carson Palmer was on the field.

Over his 233 drop backs in 2014, Palmer ranked sixth in Passing NEP per play among the 37 quarterbacks who dropped back at least 200 times. That puts him two slots ahead of Drew Brees and three ahead of Andrew Luck. Ya dig? Ya should.

Additionally (going back to the original focus of this piece), he's facing a New Orleans Saints defense that had the fourth worst Adjusted Defensive Passing NEP per play last year. That same secondary is without its top corner, thus driving the over/under on the game up to 48.

The best part about this is that the pricing on Arizona's passing-game assets does not match this potential. Palmer is the 16th-most expensive quarterback on FanDuel at $7,700, while both Larry Fitzgerald and John Brown are $6,000. A stack of Palmer plus one of those two is not going to cost you much capital, and it could present solid upside in tourneys.