5 Daily Fantasy Football Matchups to Exploit in Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles Passing Offense

There are some legit reasons to have reservations about Carson Wentz, and we'll get to those in a second. But the Detroit Lions' defense may be bad enough where none of that matters.

Let's start with the concerns for Wentz so that we can end this puppy on a high note. Although Wentz ranks 3rd in Passing NEP per drop back, he's also 24th in Success Rate. This puts him behind guys like Marcus Mariota, Jameis Winston, Alex Smith, and most of his inexperienced comrades in Dak Prescott, Trevor Siemian, and Cody Kessler. A low Success Rate can give Wentz a lower floor than we'd like, and this is before we factor in that he's a rookie starting on the road.

Additionally, Wentz's first three games haven't exactly come against stout competition. He's yet to face a team that rans higher than 15th in Adjusted Defensive Passing NEP per play, meaning that Success Rate looks even a bit less rosy.

That's the bad. The good? He's facing the worst pass defense in the league, according to numberFire's metrics. Swoon.

Through four weeks, the only quarterback to not finish as a top-seven weekly scorer against the Lions is the aforementioned Mariota. Andrew Luck was the top-ranked guy in Week 1, and Aaron Rodgers was third in Week 3. Quarterbacks have been feasting against this defense, and we can't ignore it anymore.

The other positive for Wentz is that he's likely getting a big part of his offense back.

Wentz targeted Zach Ertz seven times in Week 1, giving Ertz five consecutive games with at least seven targets. The tight end has been a major bugaboo for the Lions, who have already allowed a whopping six receiving touchdowns to the position this year. Ertz seems to be fully recovered, and he's one of the top options at the position this week.

This recommendation may be for the passing offense, but that doesn't mean we should completely eschew running back Darren Sproles. Because the team has had such big leads this year, you wouldn't have expected Sproles to be heavily-involved in the offense. When we look just at the first halves of games, though -- when the scores have been tighter -- Sproles is tied for the team lead in receptions with eight, the same number as Jordan Matthews and above everybody else. In what figures to be a tighter game, Sproles should see a bigger role, and his price doesn't fully account for these factors.