Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 6

Start Michael Thomas as a Home Underdog

It's no secret that Drew Brees is an absolute monster in home games. This Sunday, Brees and the New Orleans Saints play at home as underdogs against the Carolina Panthers. While Brees has sometimes struggled as an underdog, he has dominated in games with high totals.

The total for the game is 53 points. According to the Rotoviz Game Splits app, in 16 career games played with a total of 53 or more, Brees has averaged a staggering 31.28 fantasy points per game. Instead of suggesting that you start Brees, let's focus on his wideouts.

Brandin Cooks, Willie Snead, and Michael Thomas are all viable options. In home games, Cooks has averaged 15.25 half-PPR points per game while Snead has averaged 14.65 . Thomas has only played two career home games and is averaging 12.7 half-PPR points per game.

Both Cooks and Snead rank in the top 20 in price on FanDuel and are fine values, but Thomas is a screaming value at just $5,500, ranking 57th among wide receivers. In what is expected to be the highest-scoring game of the week, Thomas has plenty of upside for use in tournaments.