Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 11

Start Donte Moncrief as a Favorite

The Indianapolis Colts are coming off of a bye to face the red-hot Tennessee Titans. The Colts are three-point home favorites, and the current total is 52.5 points, the highest on the weekend slate. The Colts implied total of 27.75 points is the third-highest mark.

This all bodes well for the Colts' offense, especially for wideout Donte Moncrief. Since the start of 2015, Moncrief has scored 11.39 half-PPR points per game when the Colts were favored. That's 4.5 points higher than what he has scored as an underdog.

Sportsbooks likely set the total at a high number of 52.5 because these two teams have gone over the total at an impressive rate. Titans games have gone over the total eight out of 10 games while Colts games have gone over the total seven out of nine games.

Moncrief is an optimal tournament play because of his cheap price and high upside. He is currently priced at $6,500 on FanDuel, which ranks 26th among wideouts.