Fantasy Football: The Downside for Each Top-20 Pick

Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Downside: Touchdown Upside

Again, it's hard to find bad things to say about unbelievable NFL superstars. So thanks for being so good at your job, Antonio.

We could look at Brown's touchdown numbers as reason to be not-very-but-maybe concerned this year, though. Since he started producing obscene numbers in 2013, his touchdowns per target rates have been 0.05 (2013), 0.07 (2014), 0.05 (2015), and, last year, 0.08. So there was a slight jump from his norm.

Maybe this doesn't matter. It probably doesn't. But like the aforementioned Le'Veon Bell, Martavis Bryant could steal some of these looks this season. Granted, it should be noted that in the small sample we have with both AB and Martavis on the field at the same time over the last three years, Brown's averaged 0.76 touchdowns per game versus the 0.73 without. That's skewed a bit by big performances from Ben Roethlisberger, but that should allow owners selecting Brown with the third overall pick to feel more comfortable.