Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 13
Start the Jaguars' Defense in a Game With a Low Over/Under
The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off a loss against Blaine Gabbert and the Cardinals. This, and the fact that the Jacksonville D/ST is priced at $5,600 on FanDuel, the highest among all defenses, will probably scare people off using them as much as in previous weeks.
However, the total in their Week 13 game against the Colts remains low at 41. Sacksonville has played in nine games with a total of 42 points or fewer this season. In these games, their defense has performed really well.
The total between the #Jaguars and #Colts is a low 41 points. Jags games with a total of 42 or lower have gone under the total 6 out of 9 times this season. The average score in those games was 37.77 points. pic.twitter.com/ii8XvmF2kt
— Matt Blair (@grizzlyblair) November 30, 2017
In those nine games, the Jags held their opponents to an average of just 11.55 points per game. The Colts have an implied total of 15.75, the second lowest on the slate.
The line movement is also in favor of a Jacksonville win. The line opened with the Jags favored by 8.5 points but has since risen to 9.5.
Again, the Jacksonville D/ST is the most expensive and fitting them into your lineup will be a struggle for most, but they clearly are the safest play and have the most upside.
