8 NFL FanDuel Value Plays for the Divisional Round

Saturday Wide Receiver: Chester Rogers, Indianapolis Colts

Price: $5,100

Saturday's slate just isn't the spot to punt tight end. The top "value" option worth considering is Blake Jarwin, but at $5,400 that's still far less appealing than getting your value at wide receiver. Travis Kelce and Eric Ebron at the top are just too good to pass up.

For the most part, FanDuel pricing reflects just how high-scoring this Chiefs/Colts game should be, so there's not a ton of value available. Chester Rogers is an exception.

Rogers closed the regular season with at least four targets in three of his final four games, which included games of six and seven targets. His first playoff game also saw him notch decent volume, with five targets in the wild card round.

Five targets doesn't look like much on the surface, but there are two things to consider here. First, you will absolutely take five targets at $5,100. Second, Andrew Luck only threw the ball 32 times in that game. He notched more than 32 attempts 10 times in the regular season, averaging 39.9 per game. Rogers' 15.6% market share from the wild card round would have translated to 6.2 targets on an average Luck workload.

If anything, we should see Luck attempt an above-average number of passes this week. As 5.0-point underdogs in a game with a massive over/under, the Colts are simply going to be forced to throw. Trying to run the ball to keep an opposing offense off the field is all well and good, but KC's league-leading offense has forced opponents to attempt the league's most passes.

That should mean plenty of volume available for Rogers here, and even if he remains inefficient, that should be more than enough to return value on such a low price tag.